http://observador.pt/2015/09/09/sondagem-da-aximage-da-vantagem-de-56-pontos-percentuais-a-coligacao-psd-cds/
Sondagem da Aximage dá vantagem de 5,6 pontos percentuais à coligação PSD/ CDS
muito comico, hehe
é impressionante a forma como o Costa vai perder estas eleições.
o Seguro fazia melhor.
O Costa não soube ler the writing on the wall. é abismal.
era só olhar para a grécia, para espanha, para a itália, para os US e UK; a esquerda hoje só tem alguma hipótese se for radical.
se não é para fazer a diferença para a direita, para é que o povão vai votar nela?
é fantástica esta incapacidade de ler a realidade.
L
o wolfgang munchau a dizer o mesmo no spiegel (tradução google)
SPON - The money trail: Why failure left-wing parties in Europe
A column by Wolfgang Münchau
The SPD is getting to the right, but what are you taking that? Nothing. The Syriza party threatens the same fate. If Europe wants to survive left, they must stop to cuddle with the neoliberal doctrine.
Political truisms vote until they are no longer correct. One of them is that left-wing parties win elections out of the center. Examples abound: Gerhard Schröder, Tony Blair, last Matteo Renzi.
But this rush does not always and everywhere. We see this in the steady decline of the SPD, which has never been more conservative than under their current party leader Sigmar Gabriel. The supports free trade agreements with the US, and was last in the line of Wolfgang Schäuble in the negotiations with Greece. The SPD is getting to the right, and it still does not help in the polls.
The Greek Left party Syriza overtaken just the same fate. Your party leader Alexis Tsipras came to power with the promise to end the failed austerity. He even won a referendum. And then he buckled and mutated from a young wild left to an established social democrats. He accepted in July not just another program, but one that is harder than any other before.
It is obvious for the Greek voters that Tsipras's all about staying in power, like Gabriel and his comrades. The content of these people are on the same policy as the Conservatives. So it is no wonder that many voters frustrated Syriza-turn away from their party. In the polls the party has lost their home high projection, in some opposition even in the lead. How could that happen?
The reason is the same as that of the SPD. The cardinal political error of the Socialists and other left-wing parties in Europe is the acceptance of a neo-liberal economic doctrine. I want to discuss at this point is not substantive arguments for or against this doctrine. I am talking here about the neoliberal policies that have contributed to a decline in real wages. It led to shifts in power in the economy to the detriment of trade unions and in favor of banks.
Socialists have these policies not only silently tolerated, but participated in different grand coalitions it. Also, the program for Greece is subject to a neo-liberal ideology: privatization of state enterprises, abolition of legal business opening times, including for Sundays, the deregulation of all professions. The Greek program goes far beyond what keep themselves conservatives in Germany for reasonable. And Tsipras has accepted it.
Model US Democrats
What are social democrats and socialists do differently? The answer deliver the Democrats in the United States, whose economic policies would be called in this country Keynesian. The voters are not interested in any economic theory. But they are interested in the consequences of economic policies. In the US unprofitable banks will be closed regardless of the unitholders. In the United States to respond to sudden economic downturns with government spending programs or retroactive tax relief. There, the central bank ruled on a decline in inflation immediately with an aggressive countermeasures.
In Europe and Germany fiscal and monetary policies are relatively sluggish. The social security systems cushion the shocks that have arisen with right and with left-wing governments.
The basic problem of all social democrats is the deep anchoring of neoliberal doctrine in European politics and in the European treaties - the Maastricht Treaty, the Stability Pact and its subsequent versions, and most recently in the fiscal compact. This written by conservatives rules reduce the political leeway. And that social democrats can no longer be distinguished from the perspective of voters of Christian Democrats.
For the left, there is therefore only one way back to power. And this path leads through a resistance against these rules. I do not mean that you should break the rules (pacta sunt servanda). The European Union thrives on that you stick to agreed rules. But the left should at least try to change these rules in their favor. That is, they should not be part of a coalition that Greece enacted a neoliberal adjustment. You should think about alternatives. Especially German social democrats should find their way back to the old, now discards stability rules of the old Federal Republic.
At a macroeconomic balance also includes the external balance. A surplus of almost ten percent of economic output should force an adjustment. The Social Democrats should broach. But in all these points, the Social Democrats have queued in the conservative neo-liberal consensus. And in Germany are even the Greens largely within this consensus.
Through their involvement in conservative embossed grand coalitions Social Democracy is about to abolish itself. And Syriza will also end there.
spiegel
