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Autor Tópico: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.  (Lida 5118928 vezes)

Reg

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18480 em: 2016-08-28 22:54:31 »
do  psi  so oportunidade de compra dos lideres de mercado  Amorim e  o sector papel.A  Ren paga bom dividendo por agora! ou dos estejam com pouca divida CTT

mas tem  corrigir..

o resto  esta condenado com dividas e um pais  pouco cresce  bastante antiliberal na economia

se elecoes fossem hoje o PS ganhava junto BE...

« Última modificação: 2016-08-28 23:03:25 por Reg »
Democracia Socialista Democrata. igualdade de quem berra mais O que é meu é meu o que é teu é nosso

Castelbranco

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18481 em: 2016-08-29 00:11:12 »
isto não se trata de eleições nem de coisa nenhuma. aqui trata-se de haver ou não consumidores para toda a tralha que se produz, eu tenho vários amigos empresários e o que eles me dizem é que as margens de ano para ano estão cada vez mais magras, e para aumentar a carteira de clientes teem que fazer dumping, e depois para voltar acima da linha zero é matéria impossível porque outros estão a fazer a mesma coisa, então qual a solução para isto??????????????? alguém me sabe dizer?

Reg

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18482 em: 2016-08-29 00:37:01 »
uns vao ser lideres de mercado
Com fusoes... 
outros ser opados...
outros vao falir ....

depois disto  os preços aumentam...

isto tem ver com elecoes tambem
porque um pais que nao se adapta globalizaçao  diz adeus aos lideres mercado que sao os ganham com isto tudo
« Última modificação: 2016-08-29 00:52:44 por Reg »
Democracia Socialista Democrata. igualdade de quem berra mais O que é meu é meu o que é teu é nosso

Castelbranco

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18483 em: 2016-08-29 09:56:39 »
uns vao ser lideres de mercado
Com fusoes... 
outros ser opados...
outros vao falir ....

depois disto  os preços aumentam...

isto tem ver com elecoes tambem
porque um pais que nao se adapta globalizaçao  diz adeus aos lideres mercado que sao os ganham com isto tudo

os preços aumentam só se chegar a um extremo, ou seja falta de bens para a população existente, aí sim poderá surgir inflação, caso contrario esqueçam essa historia da inflação.

Castelbranco

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18484 em: 2016-08-29 10:39:45 »
Minha teoria sobre a queda das grandes cidades ganha cada vez mais forma, por acaso encontrei este artigo que descreve um pouco mais ou menos aquilo que minha teoria diz sobre o assunto, eu já falei sobre isso aqui varias vezes neste forum,

What Life Will Be Like After An Economic Collapse

If you have been waiting for a public announcement or news headline to let you know that an economic collapse has begun, you are in for the surprise of your life. If history in other countries and in Detroit, Michigan is any indication, there won’t be an announcement. An economic collapse tends to sneak up on a city, region, or country gradually over time. In some cases, the arrival of an economic collapse is so gradual that most people living in it aren’t even aware of it at first.

Things just get gradually worse, often so gradually that people and families adjust as best they can until one day they actually realize that it’s not just their home or their neighborhood that has been hit so hard financially, it’s everyone. By that time, it’s often too late to take preventative action.

In March of 2011, Detroit’s population was reported as having fallen to 713,777, the lowest it had been in a century and a full 25% drop from 2000. In December 2011, the state announced its intention to formally review Detroit’s finances. In May of 2013, almost two years later, the city is deemed “clearly insolvent” and in July of 2013, the state representative filed a Chapter 9 bankruptcy petition for Motor City. Detroit became one of the biggest cities to file bankruptcy in history.

So we have only to look at what happened in Detroit, Michigan post-bankruptcy, to get an indication of what might soon be widespread across the United States and what is already widespread in countries like Brazil and Venezuela.

Increased and Widespread Hunger

Grocery stores and other businesses will fail one by one or be shut down from the riots and looting. In Detroit, the economic collapse left less than 5 national grocery stores for over 700,000 people. Imagine the lines even if food was still being shipped in on trucks. Small independent corner stores and family owned stores become the most convenient place to shop. These are stores with already high prices who make most of their profit from beer, wine, lottery, and cigarettes.

Now imagine that shipping schedules have been affected by the economic crisis, this would mean longer lines with less certainty that any food would even be available once you got into the store to shop. People in Venezuela are actually dealing with government-run grocery stores and are limited to two days per week they can shop. They still face long lines and total uncertainty of what, if any food, will be left once it’s their “turn” to shop.

One of the ways for you to prepare for an economic collapse and increase the likelihood that your family will be well-fed regardless of what is available in the grocery stores is to grow your own food. For further protection, consider planning and planting a hidden survival garden rather than a traditional garden that would be obvious to neighbors and looters. In addition, you can learn how to identify, harvest, and consume wild edible plants to supplement your food supply.

Sporadic Public Services

Public services, including the school system experience frequent strikes that shut them down for days at a time. Power issues and outages become more frequent and roadways become filled with potholes and other signs of disrepair as preventative measures are shoved aside. The water from the tap, that you pay for monthly, begins to smell funny, so you start filtering it before using it. Garbage collection service is sporadic and you begin to see increased trash along the streets and sidewalks.

Your cell phone is certainly not something you can rely on since you can’t predict when the signal will be available. Although you pay for high-speed internet, actually getting that service on a daily basis is a matter of sheer luck. Increased littering in the streets and lack of regular garbage collection services becomes an issue because the litter now clogs storm drains every time it rains.

In order to prepare for the sporadic and possible shutdown of public utility services, you can research alternative methods for getting what you need. Consider solar or wind power energy, digging a well or installing a rainwater catchment system. Invest in a composting toilet in the event that public septic systems are overloaded or malfunctioning.

Social Unrest

This is another one of those things that just tends to sneak up gradually. Initially, protests warrant our attention because it’s new and different and out of the ordinary. But as the protests become more and more frequent, people stop caring why the protests are happening. You learn to avoid areas where protests are likely to occur. You start taking an alternate route to work or entering your office building through a back door.

Violence and vandalism begin to accompany the protests and roadblocks become part of your everyday routine. Like rush-hour traffic r, you plan enough time to get to work based on the knowledge that the road may be blocked due to a car or building being set on fire the night before. More people will be armed when in public, tempers will be short, there will be increased knife fights and shootings. This will put a huge strain on emergency services personnel such as police, fire, and EMS.

Streets, yards, and even homes are flooding more often now. In addition to the litter, the metal storm drains and even copper pipes from abandoned homes are being stolen for cash. Before long you start to notice that the historic plaques are missing from city monuments, statues come up missing, even doorknobs, anything metal that can be scrapped is fair game for looters and thieves.

One way to prepare for the next wave of riots is to move out of the city to a more rural location. If you can’t do that right now, then it will help to be intimately familiar with your city roads and other transportation routes. Make sure that you have several planned routes to/from work or your child’s school and any nearby grocery stores. In addition to planning alternative routes for daily travel, you should plan and practice several different bug out routes in case you need to leave your home quickly. Consider not only roads but also railroad tracks, subway tunnels, sewer tunnels, and power line easement roads as possible alternative routes.

Transportation

Daily travel is fraught with angry mobs and requires using alternative routes which result in everything just taking longer. Travel by bus, subway, and airline are unpredictable due to increased strikes. Roads go unrepaired as a result of striking workers or budget constraints. Increased bottlenecks on the roads lead to more frequent carjacking and muggings as thieves learn where people will be forced to stop.

More people are forced to travel by bus, subway, or train due to skyrocketing gas prices, thus public transportation services are overwhelmed. There are increased train accidents, bus and subway breakdowns due to lack of investment, corruption, and politics getting in the way of doing things correctly. Strikes, protests, and roadblocks make everything worse. Soon the only way to get anything done involves “paying a little extra” or suffering long and uncertain delays.

Plan for long delays in transportation by not only keeping your car gas tank full of gas at all times but also by stockpiling as much gas as you can safely store. Keep your car well-maintained, keep spare parts and engine fluids stockpiled, and perform preventative repairs. You can also consider an alternate form of transportation such as a motorcycle, foldable bicycle, or even a motorized scooter or boat if your situation warrants it.

Criminal Activity

When an economic crisis is in the making, you will definitely see an increase in criminal activity. People will become desperate to feed themselves and their families. More people will be more willing to cross the line into criminal activity to get what they need. Initially, you will hear about more incidents of violence, looting, robberies, and muggings.

Your neighbor or a family member will be mugged and you will respond by taking additional safety precautions. You’ll check your car before getting into it, you’ll avoid dark areas, carry your keys in your hand. As reports become more frequent, you’ll start to travel only in groups and never alone.

You’ll hear that the woman down the street had someone break into her house while she was sleeping. So you may nag your husband to reinforce the deadbolts and add security bars on the windows. When the neighbor is robbed, your husband will buy several guns and you both will learn to use them. You’ll teach your kids about gun safety and maybe create a plan of action for a home invasion.

Before long, getting mugged or being a victim of some type of crime is as unpredictable and as common as a car accident. You’ll realize everyone in the neighborhood has now beefed up security on their homes. All your family, friends, and coworkers have experienced a mugging, carjacking, or worse.

You’ll have no choice but to accept this new way of life and count on basic safety measures (a form of passive denial) or further learn to defend yourself and remain in a constant state of alert (a very stressful state over time). It’s difficult emotionally, mentally, and physically to remain on high alert 24/7 for any length of time. Most people will revert to a form of passive denial until the next incident happens to them or a family member.

Take time now to learn self-defense moves and make sure you and all family members know how to use both non-lethal and lethal weapons. Keep weapons where you can reach them quickly but where they are safe from curious child fingers. Learn and consider putting into practice some of these 10 deceptive strategies for preppers so you can avoid becoming a target for criminals.

Housing

Streets that used to have a house on every lot, morph into desolate patches of houses as people lose their homes to banks or abandon their homes to move in with family or friends due to lack of finances. Houses fall into disrepair, lawns are overgrown, pests and rodents thrive in empty buildings.

Abandoned homes that aren’t torn down or maintained by the city may be taken over by squatters, some with the best of intentions to clean it up, others who just need a place to sleep, or who are in between drug or alcohol binges. Squatters will modify heating systems to get them to work or customize DIY heating sources which can result in increased house fires and even explosions when things go wrong. As the housing conditions worsen, more people will become ill from prolonged exposure to the elements, to poor living conditions, and to increased insect and rodent infestations.

The best way to ensure that housing for you and your family is stable is to keep up with needed repairs and do what you can to reduce your overall housing expenses. If you can pay ahead on your house payments or pay down on the principal amount, or even pay off your house, you stand a better chance of keeping control of it when things start to collapse.

Unemployment
More and more people you know will experience job loss or layoffs. It may seem easy enough to get another job at first, but as more and more people are displaced, finding a job will become almost impossible. Teenagers will be displaced from jobs that are now being taken by adults.

This means instead of working for the summer and after school, more teenagers will be out on the streets without anything worthwhile to do. The neighborhood might just seem “rowdier” at night and then during the day too. But before long, boredom, frustration, and even anger will set in and the unemployed will join the ranks of the protestors and looters.

Prepare for possible unemployment by saving up an emergency fund and stockpiling food and other supplies so that you can manage through several weeks or even months without steady income. Reduce your monthly expenses as much as possible so you can live on less when money gets tight.

Healthcare

This is one of the areas that many people don’t really consider when they think about an economic collapse but it’s probably one of the most important when it comes to human life and survival. This is especially true for those people who may take daily medications in order to treat a chronic life-threatening condition. Initially healthcare appointments may become more difficult to schedule. It may take longer to get in to see a doctor because quite frankly, more people are getting sick and needing care.

Illnesses from poor diet, from low-quality water, or food that spoiled due to power issues will be more frequent. There will also be more injuries as a result of the looting, rioting, and increased criminal activity. You can expect increased incidents of domestic violence as family relationships are strained and crack under the stress of poor living conditions. Many people will lose access to their healthcare when they lose their jobs, and this will place a strain on public services such as free clinics and emergency rooms.

To prepare for a shortage or lack of accessible healthcare, you can create and learn to use your own first aid kit and learn how to identify and use wild plants and natural remedies to treat minor illnesses and diseases.

There’s really no way to predict the timing of an economic collapse with any certainty and in most cases, an economic collapse will occur gradually without much warning unless you are paying close attention to activity and events going on around you and around the world. The best way to be prepared when it does happen is to start changing your lifestyle now, in the ways discussed above, so that you and your family can survive hard times in the future.

Incognitus

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18485 em: 2016-08-29 19:45:33 »
Porque é que os bancos americanos estão a subir hoje?

Porvavelmente devido a uma perspectiva de taxas mais elevadas.

No meu serviço temos uma acçáo, CASH, que beneficia com essa tendência.
"Nem tudo o que pode ser contado conta, e nem tudo o que conta pode ser contado.", Albert Einstein

Incognitus, www.thinkfn.com

JoaoAP

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18486 em: 2016-08-30 23:59:58 »
O QQQ 60m, já fechou há dias, o outro longo em QLD, é mesmo longo, continua.
Hoje na abertura houve sinais contraditórios!
A ver se o dia 1 dá subida até meados de Setembro e depois descida. Por norma, em termos cíclicos, o mês de Setembro tem as piores performances - isto em SPY desde 1928:

JoaoAP

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18487 em: 2016-08-31 00:11:21 »
Porque é que os bancos americanos estão a subir hoje?
Em parte devido a isto:
Citar
subscriptions.fdic.gov

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
August 30, 2016   Media Contact:
Barbara Hagenbaugh
(202) 898-7192

Net Income Rises to $43.6 Billion
At FDIC-Insured Institutions In Second Quarter 2016
Community Bank Net Income Rises to $5.5 Billion

 
Loan Balances Increase $182 Billion During the Quarter
Net Operating Revenue of $179 Billion Is 3.3 Percent Higher Than a Year Ago
Community Banks Post Strong Growth in Lending and Revenues
Deposit Insurance Fund’s Reserve Ratio Surpasses 1.15 Percent Benchmark
 

 

“The banking industry reported largely positive results in the second quarter. However, the low interest rate environment continues to pose challenges for the industry.”
-- FDIC Chairman Martin J. Gruenberg

Vanilla-Swap

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18488 em: 2016-08-31 17:14:33 »

Automek

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18489 em: 2016-09-01 13:07:41 »
não esquecer que segunda é feriado nos states. labor day.

Castelbranco

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18490 em: 2016-09-01 20:00:01 »
duas figuras muito semelhantes com divergências acentuadas no MACD

JoaoAP

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18491 em: 2016-09-02 13:38:06 »
Vale o que vale, mas seria interessante ter tempo e fazer uns gráficos com base nesta informação que se pode obter aqui:
http://www.moneychimp.com/features/monthly_returns.htm


Um resumo que se pode obter com a info de cima, se quem escreveu fez bem a análise:
Citar
From the results, it looks like some months really are significantly better than average. November through January is a particularly strong stretch; and September is the "danger" month, with an overall negative return. Surprisingly, October shows positive returns on average, although October 1987 and 2008 were pretty hard to forget.

Note that December has been better than January, which contradicts two popular myths: the December Selloff, and the January Effect.

But also notice that there are lots of exceptions to the pattern. There have been bad Januaries, and great Septembers. And of course the biggest trend of all is that the market goes up over time. So maybe the lesson here is the usual one, that long-term buy and hold is the winning strategy.

Vou colocar isto na sazonaliade.
« Última modificação: 2016-09-02 13:41:52 por JoaoAP »

JoaoAP

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18492 em: 2016-09-02 13:44:20 »
Não conhecia este site, mas tem muita e boa informação, para aprendizagem:
http://www.moneychimp.com/

Visitante

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18493 em: 2016-09-06 15:00:56 »
A Cempra (CEMP) anda a ser bem falada no SA.

Incognitus

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18494 em: 2016-09-06 15:02:02 »
O ISM saiu muito fraco e o mercado hesita entre subir mais ou ficar na mesma... :D
"Nem tudo o que pode ser contado conta, e nem tudo o que conta pode ser contado.", Albert Einstein

Incognitus, www.thinkfn.com

Incognitus

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18495 em: 2016-09-06 15:07:16 »
6 minutos depois do número, deu-lhe a fraqueza. Reacçóes ao retardador, ainda é Verão.
"Nem tudo o que pode ser contado conta, e nem tudo o que conta pode ser contado.", Albert Einstein

Incognitus, www.thinkfn.com

Vanilla-Swap

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18496 em: 2016-09-06 15:35:02 »
Cuidado com os ETF podem entrar numa bolha com as taxas de juro negativas.

Automek

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18497 em: 2016-09-06 15:43:30 »
Cuidado com os ETF podem entrar numa bolha com as taxas de juro negativas.
Um ETF faz um tracking de um mercado, um sector, uma mercadoria, um tipo de obrigações, etc.

A reacção de ETFs a taxas de juro negativas (ou a qualquer outro evento) dependerá daquilo que está "dentro" do ETF.

Vanilla-Swap

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18498 em: 2016-09-06 16:37:01 »
Cuidado com os ETF podem entrar numa bolha com as taxas de juro negativas.
Um ETF faz um tracking de um mercado, um sector, uma mercadoria, um tipo de obrigações, etc.

A reacção de ETFs a taxas de juro negativas (ou a qualquer outro evento) dependerá daquilo que está "dentro" do ETF.

queres dizer que num etf de cesto de ações o dinheiro investido no etf vai ser investido no cesto de ações?

Automek

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Re: Mercado em TEMPO REAL - Notícias, rumores, análises, chat.
« Responder #18499 em: 2016-09-06 17:03:32 »
Cuidado com os ETF podem entrar numa bolha com as taxas de juro negativas.
Um ETF faz um tracking de um mercado, um sector, uma mercadoria, um tipo de obrigações, etc.

A reacção de ETFs a taxas de juro negativas (ou a qualquer outro evento) dependerá daquilo que está "dentro" do ETF.

queres dizer que num etf de cesto de ações o dinheiro investido no etf vai ser investido no cesto de ações?
Sim, um ETF cujo objectivo seja seguir o S&P500 (por exemplo o ETF com o símbolo SPY) vai ter um cabaz de acções representativas do S&P500, de forma a ter performance o mais aproximada possível ao índice.